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The 10 Teams Best-Positioned To Win the 2023 Super Bowl

The Super Bowl is a few days into the rearview mirror, which means it’s well past time to look toward next year. There are bound to be some major offseason transactions that shake up the league, but the oddsmakers have already unveiled their favorites to win the 2023 Super Bowl.

Here are the top-10 teams I believe are best-positioned to capture next year’s championship. Super Bowl odds courtesy of BetMGM on February 17.

1. Buffalo Bills

Super Bowl odds: +750

The Bills were 13 seconds away from beating the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Divisional Round and would have been the Super Bowl favorites if they won that game. Buffalo has a talented overall roster, and star quarterback Josh Allen will have a cap hit of only $16.3 million in 2022, which allows the front office some major flexibility.

The defense should remain among the NFL’s best for another season, which means Buffalo has everything lined up to make another serious Super Bowl push. The Bills should be considered the early team to beat.

2. Kansas City Chiefs

Super Bowl odds: +750

The Chiefs have the best quarterback in the NFL, and they will likely push money down the road to keep as much talent as possible around Patrick Mahomes. The path will start getting tougher because Mahomes’ cap hit is increasing, but he is such a singular talent that Kansas City will be right in the mix.

The Chiefs were the clear favorites in the AFC for the past couple of seasons but the roster may start developing some holes that Mahomes will need to cover up.

3. Los Angeles Rams

Super Bowl odds: +1100

The Rams built an elite roster this year and it mostly stayed healthy. The cap is a concern again this offseason, but Los Angeles is likely to kick the can down the road in an effort to repeat. This team is predicated on its superstars playing well, which worked to perfection in 2021. 

If Matthew Stafford, Aaron Donald, Jalen Ramsey and Cooper Kupp can duplicate their performance, another championship is certainly possible. Coach Sean McVay gives the team a high floor because he is one of the best coaches in the NFL. However, it’s easy to see some issues cropping up because of regression or injuries, so the Rams are not head and shoulders above the rest in the NFC.

4. Baltimore Ravens

Super Bowl odds: +2000

Very little went right for the Ravens in 2021. They were hit hard by injuries to key players and lost several games at the last second. They won’t be this high in most offseason power rankings, but when healthy, Baltimore is still one of the best teams in the NFL and is a good value bet to win next year’s Super Bowl.

Quarterback Lamar Jackson had a down year for his standards and will need to bounce back, but the talent is there. The Ravens play the most unique brand of football in the NFL, and when it’s clicking, few teams can stop it. Baltimore needs to regroup and get healthy, but a bounceback campaign could be just around the corner.

5. Dallas Cowboys

Super Bowl odds: +1200

The Cowboys looked completely off-kilter in their playoff loss to the 49ers, and the coaching of Mike McCarthy does not exactly inspire a lot of confidence. However, the roster is still extremely talented. Dak Prescott is an upper-tier quarterback and the supporting cast on offense is formidable. 

The defense took a big leap forward from 2020 and will need to sustain it. The presence of burgeoning superstar Micah Parsons is a good reason to believe that side of the ball can continue to excel. Dallas has the type of talent to be a serious contender next season.

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6. Green Bay Packers

Super Bowl odds: +1400

Chances are the Packers will figure out a way to get quarterback Aaron Rodgers and wide receiver Davante Adams back to Green Bay for next season. The overall roster is likely to be worse than 2021 because of the cap situation, and Green Bay could have some luck regression in 2022.

But if the special teams unit can go from disastrous to merely average and Rodgers remains one of the league’s best signal-callers, Green Bay will once again be in the mix.

7. Cincinnati Bengals

Super Bowl odds: +1200

There is reason to be optimistic about the Bengals, who beat the Raiders, Titans and Chiefs in the playoffs before barely losing to the Rams in the Super Bowl. Quarterback Joe Burrow led the NFL in yards per attempt, Cincinnati has an elite group of wide receivers and the team has a lot of salary cap space to make improvements.

However, the Bengals were only slightly above average in the regular season and it’s not a given they jump to among the NFL’s elite over a full 17-game schedule again. Cincy could be a high-variance team next season, with Super Bowl upside and .500 downside.

8. San Francisco 49ers

Super Bowl odds: +1600

The 49ers showed their talent and depth in the playoffs, beating the Cowboys and Packers to make the NFC Championship Game before losing a close one to Los Angeles. San Francisco will return a whole slew of talented players, but their ceiling will rest squarely on the shoulders of second-year quarterback Trey Lance.

The physical tools are evident, but Lance was not able to beat out Jimmy Garoppolo as a rookie. If Lance lives up to the hype, the 49ers could easily be the team to beat in the NFC, but it’s too early to place them atop the heap. However, this is a good value play because of the high-end potential.

9. Los Angeles Chargers

Super Bowl odds: +2500

Star quarterback Justin Herbert is heading into his third season, which is often the sweet spot for teams to make a deep playoff run. He should be at or near the top of his game, while the Chargers still have the cap flexibility to put plenty of good players around him.

Los Angeles is in a tough division that features Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, as well as a Broncos team that may be able to add an elite quarterback this offseason. The road won’t be easy, but with Herbert, Joey Bosa and Derwin James leading the way, the Chargers have the potential to be a contender.

10. Arizona Cardinals

Super Bowl odds: +2000

Even if star quarterback Kyler Murray signs a lucrative contract extension this offseason, the Cardinals can keep his cap hit low in 2022. GM Steve Keim can also backload free agent contracts in order to prioritize winning this year, which makes sense because it will be the final year Murray is paid significantly under his market value.

Keim’s job is on the line, which means he will likely make aggressive moves in pursuit of short-term results, even if it’s not the best decision for the long-term health of the franchise. The Cardinals fell off a cliff at the end of 2021 and there is a lot of pressure to make a deep playoff run next year. If the right roster moves are made, the potential is there for it to happen.

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