It’s been a good start to Cardinals forecasting, as I’m 2-0 against the spread and 5-1 on prop bet picks.
I’m betting against the Cardinals for the first time this week, as I like the Cowboys to dominate on Sunday afternoon.
Goodbye, good vibes:https://t.co/pd4RHvwA3x
— Kyle Odegard (@Kyle_Odegard) September 21, 2023
Here are the three prop bet picks I like.
Cardinals RB James Conner over 14.5 rushing attempts (-110 at BetMGM)
I’ll be honest, I originally leaned toward the under on this number, but the facts cannot be ignored.
Conner has carried the ball 37 times for 168 yards and a touchdown through the first two games, at an impressive 4.5 yards per carry. He is a rare running back workhorse, there is no doubt about that.
The reason for my concern was game script, which has been favorable each of the first two weeks as the Cardinals have led going into the fourth quarter against the Commanders and Giants.
That is not expected to be the case in this one, and Arizona will likely be throwing plenty in the second half in an attempt to rally.
But Conner received 23 rushing attempts last week against the Giants, as backup running back Keaontay Ingram went from five carries in the opener to two on Sunday.
Ingram has seven carries for two yards this season while Conner has excelled, leaving me to believe that Conner will once again get the vast majority of the work.
He needs to accumulate the rushing attempts early on because the Cards could be pass-heavy late, but I think he gets there.