The Oscars 2023 Betting Odds

See how the nominees are currently rated by the bookies across the main categories at The Oscars for 2022. Our data tracks nominee odds over time, so you can keep track of any changes ahead of the ceremony.

Best Picture Betting Odds:

2023 Best Picture Betting Odds  – Latest Developments on Odds & Favourites:

• 2nd March – Everything Everywhere All at Once has climbed completely out of sight of the competition, leaving a plethora of outside bets in its wake. You’re sure to find some favourable odds on the likes of The Banshees of Inisherin, Tár, and The Fabelmans so, if you’re feeling contrarian and fancy a punt on an underdog, the question is which film you reckon has the best chance of landing a KO out of nowhere.
• 21st February – Odds have dropped for the two frontrunners, but Everything Everywhere All at Once still has a huge lead over the competition. All Quiet on the Western Front’s Best Film win at the BAFTAs has given it some favour, raising the odds for the Serious War Film derided for a heroic bent afforded to the invading side and its divergence from Remarque’s novel. Whether that negative sentiment bears out for the Academy remains to be seen.
• 24th January – The bookies have the outrageously inventive Everything Everywhere All at Once as the favourite at 57.85%, with Martin McDonagh’s The Banshees of Inisherin and The Fabelmans some way off the pace in second and third respectively. We couldn’t argue with Everything Everywhere taking the top prize, much like we’d love to see Ke Huy Quan snag the Best Supporting Actor award after a film credit hiatus of almost two decades.

Best Actor Betting Odds:

2023 Best Actor Betting Odds  – Latest Developments on Odds & Favourites:

• 2nd March – After a brief coming together on February 23rd, Brendan Fraser has regained a healthy lead over Austin Butler for film acting’s top prize. We loved the former’s performance in The Whale, and there’s something romantic about the way Fraser’s own alienation from the Hollywood machine is reflected in the heartbreaking way his character is ostracised by all but his best friend in the film. Here’s hoping the Academy sticks a bow on the Brenaissance.
• 21st February – Colin Farrell has been sent pretty far south in our odds tracker, overtaken by Austin Butler following his win at the BAFTAs. Regardless of what you make of the permanent change in his accent (“thankya vereh muuuch”), Butler would be a worthy winner here, managing to stand out as the highlight in the typically lavish Luhrmann production. Brendan Fraser still edges him slightly at the bookies, and surely the romance of him winning the Oscar is too good to miss.
• 24th January – Brendan Fraser’s renaissance would be well-capped with a Best Actor prize for his affecting and sympathetic performance in The Whale, but he’ll have stiff competition from Colin Farrell who had one of the best outings of his career in The Banshees of Inisherin. The bookies have a 30% margin between favourite Fraser and Farrell, but we wouldn’t write off the recent Golden Globe winner just yet.

Best Actress Betting Odds:

2023 Best Actress Betting Odds  – Latest Developments on Odds & Favourites:

• 2nd March –Everything Everywhere All at Once becoming a press darling — and fairly so, we’d say — has extended to Michelle Yeoh making up considerable ground on Cate Blanchett. The Australian still has a hair’s lead over Yeoh, but you’re sure to find decent odds on whichever actor you want to back in this two-horse race. You’ve got a few interesting options for outside bets in the other nominees, but any winner from that pool would be a massive upset.
• 21st February – Cate Blanchett’s BAFTA win has given her odds of winning the Oscar a healthy boost, with Michelle Yeoh’s chances sliding in kind. There’s not a lot to add here, although if we’re being cheeky we might question how much acting Blanchett needed to do for Tár — check out her Desert Island Discs appearance and you might wonder yourself. Still, as big Everything Everywhere All at Once fans at Compare.bet, maybe it’s just the bias talking.
• 24th January – Cate Blanchett’s incredible turn as fictional composer Lydia Tár is all but nailed-on to win this category, according to the bookies, but Michelle Yeoh’s performance in Everything Everywhere All at Once is about as stiff as challenges get. It’s tough for us to pick a favourite between Blanchett’s cerebral and complex performance and Yeoh’s dynamic barnstormer, so we wouldn’t see this as cut and dry as the bookies expect.
  

Best Supporting Actor Betting Odds:

2023 Best Supporting Actor Betting Odds  – Latest Developments on Odds & Favourites:

• 2nd March – Ke Huy Quan’s chances have risen to an unprecedented 97.5% according to Bet365, so you’d be crazy to bet on anybody else. That said, a cheeky little £1 bet on Barry Keoghan can’t hurt, and there’s always at least one big upset at the Oscars. We suspect, however, that this is shaping up to be one of those Oscars where one films sweeps up all the major awards, so perhaps an all-EEAAO acca is a better shout.
• 21st February – There’s unlikely to be any changes in the odds for Best Supporting Actor. Your best shot at this point would be to bet on whether Ke Huy Quan will shed a tear in his acceptance speech, though we don’t reckon the odds will be great on that either. It is worth noting, however, that the magnetic Barry Keoghan took home this award at the Baftas a couple weeks ago, but that can only be put down to misguided British favouritism (for those who hadn’t guessed by his name or his accent, Keoghan is Irish).
• 24th January – The bookies seem to think this category is all wrapped up, with Ke Huy Quan leading the way at 1/10, and we couldn’t be more delighted. Brendan Gleeson’s performance in Banshees of Inisherin may have earned more recognition in another year, but this one just seems written in the stars.

Best Supporting Actress Betting Odds:

2023 Best Supporting Actress Betting Odds  – Latest Developments on Odds & Favourites:

• 2nd March – The Best Supporting Actress category has turned into an exciting three-horse race, with Jamie Lee Curtis’s odds jumping from about 15/1 to 7/4, despite only featuring in 17 minutes and 15 seconds of Everything Everywhere All At Once. Don’t be discouraged by this lack of screentime, however, as eleven actors have previously won Oscars despite having less than 20 minutes on screen (and Mahershala Ali was 36 seconds away from making it twelve when he won for Moonlight in 2018). So it’s now anyone’s call between Jamie Lee, Kerry Condon and Angela Bassett, although the Wakanda Forever star remains the bookies’ favourite.
• 21st February – The Banshees of Inisherin’s Kerry Condon won in this category at the Baftas, which turned out to be a big night for Irish cinema, but it’s still hard to see anyone else but Angela Bassett coming away with the Oscar for Best Supporting Actress, and the bookies agree. The Baftas have quite rightly been criticised for demonstrating a shocking lack of diversity this year, and we hope the Oscars won’t follow suit. That’s not to take anything away from Condon, however, who we think turned in Banshees’ best performance.
• 24th January – Angela Bassett was last nominated for an Academy Award in 1993, but it looks like her 30 years of hurt are all but over. If Bassett does win, she’ll make Black Panther: Wakanda Forever the first Marvel movie to win one of the the so-called “Big Five” awards at the Oscars.

Best Director Betting Odds:

2023 Best Director Betting Odds  – Latest Developments on Odds & Favourites:

• 2nd March – The Daniels remain the clear favourites for Best Director(s), and the award going to anyone else would be a serious injustice. Spielberg himself has been leading the praise for the two directors, describing Everything Everywhere All At Once as ‘such amazing genius work’ that has renewed his faith in the talent and ingenuity of today’s young filmmakers. We’re expecting a ceremonial passing of the torch on Sunday night.
• an21st February – The Daniels have emerged as near shoe-ins for Best Director, with Stephen Speilberg’s chances dropping to around 17% according to Bet365. I wouldn’t feel too sorry for him, though, as he’s already won the award twice, and we’re sure he’d be as delighted as anyone to see the deserving Daniels win for their masterful direction of Everything Everywhere All At Once.
• 24th January – It remains a two-horse race for the Best Director award, although this category has been known to produce some unusual results in the past. We expect the Daniels to come away with the award this year, but it’s usually not wise to bet against Spielberg.

Previous Best Picture Winners

Previous Best Actor Winners

Previous Best Actress Winners

Previous Best Supporting Actor Winners

Previous Best Supporting Actress Winners

Previous Best Director Winners

About the data

We monitor trends in odds on key markets of interest by tracking a range of UK and international bookmakers. The update frequency varies, but is clearly shown on all our tables and charts. After fetching odds direct from bookies, we convert them to implied probability to make them easier to manage (read more on implied probability and converting from fractional to % probability). We then take the mean average implied probability to get a consensus view across the betting industry. This average implied probability is what we show on our charts and tables.