Premier League Betting Tips – Week 30
Odds are correct as of 12/07/2020 and sourced from Coral, our top-rated bookie, with an 89% review score.
Aston Villa v Crystal Palace
- 6 of the last 7 meetings between the clubs have been 0-0 at half time
- At least one team has failed to score in 9 of Palace’s last 11 games
- 6 of the last 7 meetings between the sides have seen under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 Goals @ 7/10
Aston Villa will have to put an end to a run of 10 games without a win if they are to have any chance of Premier League survival. Dean Smith’s side have lost 8 of those games and haven’t managed to score in their last 3 games. Their opponents, Palace, seemed to have switched off since securing 42 points, having lost their last 4 games, and not scoring in 3 of them. It doesn’t look like there’ll be many goals in this one, 6 of the last 7 meetings between the sides have had under 2.5 goals. Palace’s games have the second lowest average goals scored with 2.15 per game, only Sheffield United’s games have fewer. Meanwhile, 4 of Villa’s last 6 games have featured under 2.5 goals, and the Claret and Blues have only managed 2 goals themselves in that time. You can back under 2.5 goals at 7/10.
Both Teams to Score: No @ 10/11
Both of these sides’ games have seen at least one team fail to score with some regularity of late. 6 of Villa’s last 8 league games have seen at least one team fail to register a goal and 9 of Palace’s last 11 have seen the same. The fixture has a history for it too, with one of these two failing to score in 6 of the previous 7 meetings. We’re backing ‘no’ in the ‘both teams to score’ market at 10/11.
Goal to be Scored in the First Half: No @ 3/2
Crystal Palace’s games have been 0-0 at half time more times than any other team in the league, with the deadlock having not been broken in 17 of their 34 games. There’s a good chance that this one will add to that tally, as the two sides haven’t been hitting the net much in the first halves of their recent games. Villa have only managed to score one first half goal in their last 8 and Palace have failed to make a first half breakthrough in 7 of their 8 away games against teams in the league’s bottom half. On top of that, 6 of the last 8 meetings between the sides in the Premier League have been 0-0 at half time. With neither side quick out the blocks, this could be a good market to back, and you can get 3/2 for no goal to be scored in the first half.
Tottenham v Arsenal
- Both teams have scored in 22 of Spurs’ 34 games, the most in the league
- Aubameyang has 7 goals in 9 games against Spurs
- Harry Kane has scored 10 goals in 11 games against Arsenal
Both Teams to Score: Yes @ 2/3
There are high stakes in the second of this season’s North London derbies, with European qualification still a possibility for both Spurs and Arsenal. Arsenal have played in European competition for 24 consecutive seasons, whilst Spurs have played 11 and missing out on European football would be catastrophic for either club.
Both teams have scored in 22 of Spurs’ 34 league games this season, that’s the highest in the league at 65% of their games, and Arsenal aren’t far behind that, with both teams scoring in 20 of their 34 games, 59%. The sides have exchanged goals on multiple occasions in this fixture, with 9 of the last 13 meetings seeing both teams score. It’s 2/3 for both sides to get on the scoresheet this afternoon.
Pierre Emerick Aubameyang to Score Anytime @ 6/5
Aubameyang is the league’s second top scorer after Jamie Vardy, with 20 goals. The Gabon frontman has been a regular source of goals for the Gunners, having scored 52 in 81 games since his arrival in North London in 2018. Aubameyang has scored 3 goals in his last 3 Premier League games and has an excellent record against rivals Spurs, with 7 goals in 9 appearances against the Lillywhites. Four of those came whilst in the yellow and black of former club Dortmund, but he bagged a brace in a 4-2 victory for Arsenal in the Premier League last season, and scored in the 2-2 draw at the Emirates earlier this season. Aubameyang is 6/5 to score anytime in the derby this afternoon.
Harry Kane to Score Anytime @ 7/5
The England captain has had a disappointing season by his standards, but with 13 goals to his name after a large spell out through injury, Kane is still Spurs’ top scorer. He’s bagged 4 in his last 8 league games and loves this game more than any other. With 10 goals in 11 North London Derbies, Kane has equalled the record for the most goals in the fixture, alongside Bobby Smith and Emmanuel Adebayor. Another goal this afternoon would make him the standalone record holder and we can see him doing just that. Kane is 7/5 to score anytime against The Gunners.
Bournemouth v Leicester
- Bournemouth have lost 17 of their last 23 Premier League games
- Jamie Vardy has scored 6 goals in 11 games against Bournemouth
- Both sides have seen over 2.5 goals in 20 of their 34 games
Leicester to Win @ 7/10
Time is running out for Eddie Howe’s Bournemouth side to salvage their season and secure another season of Premier League safety. The Cherries are currently 6 points from safety with 12 to play for, but they haven’t managed a win in their last 9 games. In fact, Bournemouth have been on a torrid run, having lost 17 of their last 23 league games. Leicester, meanwhile, will visit the Vitality with an excellent record against teams in the bottom half of the table. The Foxes have won 13, drawn 3 and lost 3 in their 19 games against current bottom half opposition. They’ve also won their last two games against Bournemouth by a two goal margin, including a 3-1 victory earlier this season. We can see The Foxes taking all three points in this one and you can back a Leicester win at 7/10.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 19/20
Both of these teams have seen each side score in 20 of their 34 league games this season and both average over 2.5 goals per game, with Leicester’s games seeing 2.82 goals per game and Bournemouth’s 2.68. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 11 of Leicester’s last 17 games and in 10 of Bournemouth’s last 14 home games. The fixture has a history of goals too, with over 2.5 in 4 of the last 6 games between the sides. Over 2.5 goals in this one is good value at 19/20.
Jamie Vardy to Score Anytime @ 19/20
The league’s top scorer recently scored his 100th Premier League goal when he struck a brace in Leicester’s 3-0 victory over Crystal Palace. The evergreen frontman has 22 this season, two short of his best ever season of 24 in 2015-16, the season the Foxes won the Premier League title. Vardy has 3 in his last 2 league games and has a decent record against the Cherries, with 6 goals in 11 appearances against the south coast club. He’s 19/20 to hit the back of the net again tonight.