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Premier League Relegation Odds

Which teams are destined for the drop and which will make a great escape? Track the Premier League relegation odds with our historical trend data.

As the Premier League season enters its final stretch, the relegation battle really begins to heat up. Those at the bottom of the table have been fighting tooth and nail all season, but with only a handful of games left, they’re running out of time to save their top-flight status. Use our Premier League Relegation Odds page to track the odds of those at risk of the drop and check out the significant moments affecting any changes in price.

After their 1-0 loss to Wolves, Sheffield United were the first team to be relegated from The Premier League this season. West Brom’s 3-1 defeat to Arsenal meant they were the second team to be relegated to the Championship. They are both therefore not reflected in our relegation odds tracker. 


We also track the following betting markets – take a look to see current odds and trends over time:


2020/2021 Premier League Relegation – Latest Developments on Odds & Favourites:

  • 10th May – West Brom’s 3-1 defeat away to Arsenal means they are the second team to be relegated this season. Despite Bright and Southampton’s defeats this weekend, Fulham remain in dire straights hold a 99.02% of facing the drop.
  • 5th May: Fulham’s 2-0 derby loss to Chelsea sees their chances of relegation move up to 98.04%, an 8.39% increase since their last fixture.
  • 26th April: Burnley’s resounding 4-0 win over Wolves moves them ever closer to safety, meaning that the Claret’s implied probability of sinking into the Championship plummeted from 13.21% to 3.82%. Brighton’s loss to already-relegated Sheffield United means they’re not out of trouble yet as their implied probability doubled from 2.225% to 5.54%.
  • 19th April 2021 – Sheffield United’s relegation to The Championship is confirmed with defeat to Wolves. Fulhams concede a last-minute equaliser against Arsenal, a result which sees their combined probability of relegation rise 3.65% to 89.65%. Newcastle’s dramatic victory against West Ham moves them 8 points clear of the relegation places and sees their combined relegation odds plummet from 20.74% to 7.44%. Burnley overtake Newcastle as third-favourites for the drop as their 3-1 loss to Manchester United means their implied probability rise from 9.4% to 13.84%.
  • 15th April 2021 – West Brom’s impressive 3-0 win over Southampton on Monday evening did little to affect their odds of relegation. The Baggies combined probability decreased just 1.69% to 96.26%.
  • 12th April 2021 – Newcastle’s win against Burnley wasn’t enough to move them above the Clarets in the odds tracking chart, but it maintained a healthy distance between them and outright favourites West Brom and Fulham. The Magpies sit on a combined probability of 20.74% of suffering relegation while Burnley are at just 9.12% Fulham’s 1-0 loss to Wolves did little to help their cause, they are second-favourites to face the drop with an implied probability of 81.56%.

Current odds to be relegated from the Premier League in the 2020/21 season:

Club Fractional odds American odds
West Brom
1/200 -20000
Fulham
1/14 -1400
Brighton
16/1 +1600
Newcastle
20/1 +2000
Burnley
33/1 +3300
Southampton
66/1 +6600
Crystal Palace
150/1 +15000

Above odds sourced via bet365 and updated 29/4/2021

About the data

We monitor trends in odds on key markets of interest by tracking a range of UK and international bookmakers. The update frequency varies, but is clearly shown on all our tables and charts. After fetching odds direct from bookies, we convert them to implied probability to make them easier to manage (read more on implied probability and converting from fractional to % probability). We then take the mean average implied probability to get a consensus view across the betting industry. This average implied probability is what we show on our charts and tables.

Premier League Relegation Odds

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