Premier League Relegation Odds

Premier League Relegation Odds Tracker

The battle for survival at the bottom of the Premier League table is one of the most consistently exciting elements of the season. Use our Premier League Relegation Odds page to track the odds of those at risk of the drop and check out the significant moments affecting any changes in price.

2025/26 Premier League Relegation – Latest Developments on Odds & Favourites: (via bet365)

We also track the following betting markets – take a look to see current odds and trends over time:

• Premier League Winner Odds
• Premier League Golden Boot Winner Odds
• Premier League Top Four Odds
• EFL Championship Winner Odds
• World Cup 2026 Winner Odds
• World Cup 2026 Top Scorer Odds
• Super Bowl LX Winner Odds
• NFL MVP Winner Odds
• The Oscars Betting Odds
• Ballon d’Or Odds

About this data:

We monitor trends in odds on key markets of interest by tracking a range of UK and international bookmakers. The update frequency varies, but is clearly shown on all our tables and charts. After fetching odds direct from bookies, we convert them to implied probability to make them easier to manage (read more on implied probability and converting from fractional to % probability). We then take the mean average implied probability to get a consensus view across the betting industry. This average implied probability is what we show on our charts and tables.

Understanding the Relegation Battle

The English Premier League, like most football leagues, uses the promotion and relegation system. Of the 20 teams in the Premier League in any given season, the bottom three after 38 matches will be relegated to the second-highest division in English football, The Championship. In turn, three sides from the Championship will be promoted to the Premier League.

The battle to stay up is often called the relegation battle, while staying up under the threat of relegation is often called survival. Because the bottom three teams go down, positions 18th to 20th in the table are known as the drop zone. 

The relegation market is an outright market, but unlike the winner market, which asks which team will do best, this one is about which three teams will be the worst performers over the season. At the start of the campaign, bookies set relegation odds on all 20 teams. Because three teams are relegated, this is a three-winner market. 

The shorter the odds on a team to be relegated, the better the chances of them going down. So Wolves at 1/5 are far more likely to go down than Nottingham Forest at 7/2. That’s reflected in payouts as well. A £10 bet on Wolves at those odds would give you a profit of just £2, while a successful bet on Forest for the same stake would return a profit of £35. 

Whereas the ‘to be relegated’ market is about just that – which three teams will go down – the ‘To Finish Bottom’ market is about betting on which team will finish dead last in the table, so it is a one-winner market.

The Contenders: Who is in the Relegation Scrap?

Things can change very quickly in a league as competitive as the Premier League, but at the time of writing, these are the three favourites to be relegated, so let’s consider why that is. 

Wolverhampton Wanderers (1/33)

The loss of last season’s star attacker, Matheus Cunha to Manchester United and key defender Rayan Ait-Nouri to Manchester City were always going to cause disruption, but that’s not enough of an excuse for the terrible position they’re in. They’ve struggled to score goals, have conceded an average of two a game, and have already replaced Vitor Pereira with Rob Edwards as manager, in an attempt to beat the drop; but Edwards would have to perform minor miracles for them to stay up from here.  

Burnley (1/4)

Like almost all promoted teams, they were chalked up as relegation favourites before the season began. Still, they’re in good hands under Scott Parker, who has plenty of experience in managing in this division and in relegation battles. Key to their chances of survival will be winning more home games and doing well against relegation rivals: they’ve beaten Wolves and Leeds already, but recently lost to West Ham.  

West Ham (10/11) 

West Ham are already on their second manager for the season, with Nuno Espirito Santo – sacked by Forest just a couple of weeks earlier – replacing Graham Potter in an attempt to achieve greater consistency and better results. 

Things are looking much better than they did a couple of weeks ago after back-to-back wins against Newcastle and, crucially, relegation candidates Burnley in what was a real six-pointer. Of the main relegation candidates, they have arguably the best squad with the likes of Jarrod Bowen, Lucas Paqueta and El Hadji Mailck Diouf, class acts, so West Ham fans will hope that extra quality shines through at crucial moments.

Historical Context & Great Escapes

Time to look at which teams went down over the last three seasons, and we’ll follow that up with some great stories from yesteryear about beating relegation against the odds, also known as Great Escapes. 

In 2006–07, West Ham seemed doomed, ten points adrift by March. One Alan replaced another as Alan Curbishley replaced Alan Pardew, and Carlos Tevez, signed in a controversial deal, sparked a stunning revival. His late-season goals gave them hope, but survival still hinged on beating Manchester United at Old Trafford. Tevez scored the winner in a 1–0 victory at Old Trafford, completing a remarkable escape.

The following season produced another Great Escape, this time with Fulham in the Steve McQueen role. Under new manager Roy Hodgson, they were six points from safety with just three games left. Fulham then produced three consecutive wins, beating Manchester City, Birmingham, and Portsmouth, including a famous 3–2 comeback at City after being 2–0 down. The Portsmouth match was the last of the season, Danny Murphy scoring the crucial goal in a 1-0 win.