Strictly Come Dancing 2021 Winner Odds

Keep up with the latest odds on the winners of Strictly Come Dancing 2021. Our regularly-updated odds tracker and historical data make it a breeze to keep up with the competition's best performers and the ever-shifting moods of the bookies.

One of the world’s most successful reality shows is back with another batch of hopeful celebrities looking to learn a broad range of dancing skills and outdo each other in front of the Strictly judges. Our odds tracker and weekly updates are the best way to stay abreast of the bookies’ favourites to take home the Glitterball Trophy in 2021, as well as to get a feeling for each dancer’s progress through the competition.


We also track the following betting markets – take a look to see current odds and trends over time:


Strictly Come Dancing 2021 Winner Odds – Latest Developments on Odds & Favourites:

  • 29th November – Despite finishing in the bottom three for eight consecutive shows, Dan Walker yet again managed to avoid the dance-off on Saturday – this time at the expense of the far more talented Tilly Ramsay, who becomes the tenth contestant to leave Strictly. John Whaite’s sublime Argentine tango paid homage to the dance’s origins, while AJ Odudu produced the series’ best couples’ choice routine so far – they placed first and second on the leaderboard. Rose Ayling-Ellis was uncharacteristically underwhelming, but her lead over the rest of the competition marginally increases on our odds tracker.
  • 22nd November – It was Tom Fletcher’s turn to discover that none of our celebrities are safe as we head into the business end of the competition – he leaves following a dance-off with Rhys Stephenson. Despite scoring a perfect 40 for her couples’ choice, Tilly Ramsay remains at the bottom of our odds tracker. The BBC’s Dan Walker recorded the most significant upward movement this week, moving slightly away from the bottom two couples. AJ Odudu’s masterful Viennese waltz earned her 38 points, and she swaps places with John Whaite for the third week in a row. Can anyone upset the bookies and beat Rose Ayling-Ellis to the Strictly crown?
  • 15th November – Saturday was a night of high emotion with judges, professionals and contestants all reduced to tears throughout the show. Rhys Stephenson could hardly breathe after receiving top marks for his high-octane Charleston, but he still struggles to make any gains on our odds tracker. The night once again belonged to Rose Ayling-Ellis after her couples’ choice produced one of the most memorable moments in Strictly history – she climbs above 80% for the first time. AJ Odudu and John Whaite swap places once again; Tilly Ramsay overcame her second dance-off in a row at the expense of Sara Davies.
  • 8th November – Rose Ayling-Ellis can do no wrong in the eyes of our odds tracker, increasing her lead over the other contestants despite finishing 6th on the judges’ leaderboard. There was a shift in second place, with AJ Odudu’s sublime Charleston unlucky not to be awarded full marks; she replaces John Whaite who delivered a silky-smooth rumba. McFly’s Tom Fletcher fully announced himself in the competition after his traditional paso doble earned him 38 points, and he moves slightly away from the remaining field. Down at the bottom of the leaderboard it was the end of the road for Adam Peaty, who lost out in the dance-off to Tilly Ramsay.
  • 1st November – There’s really only one place to start this week: Rose Ayling-Ellis, the nation’s sweetheart, picking up this series’ first 40 with a perfect tango. Rose continues to strengthen her grip on our odds tracker, and is now the firm favourite at 71%. At the other end of the leaderboard, Judi Love was eliminated following a dance-off against Adam Peaty. AJ Odudu once again lit up the dancefloor with a dramatic Viennese waltz, and she closes the gap on John Whaite in second place. Tilly Ramsay continued her good form with 35 points from the judges.
  • 25th October – We’re down to our final ten celebrities as rugby star Ugo Monye was voted off the show this week. With a massive 65% on our odds tracker, Rose Ayling-Ellis is now clearly considered the one to beat, but the rest of the field is far from short of dancing talent. John Whaite’s Charleston earned him a massive 38 points, and AJ Odudu picked up her first ten of the series with a sultry Argentine tango. Tilly Ramsay received her highest score of 36, but she remains glued to the trailing pack.
  • 19th October – Strictly lost two couples this week: Robert Webb was forced to withdraw on medical grounds and Greg Wise struggled to find the rhythms of the samba. There was a mix-up to the judges’ leaderboard, with the Welsh dragon, Sara Davies, finishing in pole position after a convincing tango. Davies was followed by Tilly Ramsay, Adam Peaty, and Rhys Stephenson, who all showed that they’re capable of challenging the three front runners. Sitting pretty at the top of our odds chart is the infectious Rose Ayling-Ellis, replacing John Whaite.
  • 12th October – Katie McGlynn was unable to survive consecutive dance-offs this week and was voted off in a split decision by the judges. But Saturday night was all about two dancers: John Whaite, whose paso doble earned an astonishing 39 points – yes, 39 points in week three! – and the amazing Rose Ayling-Ellis, who produced a first-class foxtrot to continue her impressive start to the competition. Unsurprisingly, these two dominate our odds tracker this week at the expense of the rest of the pack. AJ Odudu falls from first to third, but there’s still daylight between her and the cluster at the bottom.
  • 5th October – Strictly said goodbye to its first couple this week, with actress and comedian Nina Wadia losing out in the dance-off to Hollyoaks’ Katie McGlynn. AJ Odudu continued her searing rise to the top of our odds chart with a classy foxtrot to match last week’s outstanding jive. John Whaite and Rose Ayling-Ellis consolidated their position in the top three with strong performances; Adam Peaty and TV presenter Rhys Stephenson recorded the most significant downward movement.
  • 28th September – Rose Ayling-Ellis remains the favourite, but baker John Whaite is surging toward the top. Whaite danced with Johannes Radebe for the first-ever all-male performance on the show, and the judges were extremely impressed. Ayling-Ellis, an actress who is deaf, also earned plaudits for her performance. Olympic swimmer Adam Peaty and TV presenter A.J. Odudu saw their odds improve after memorable showings.

About the data

We monitor trends in odds on key markets of interest by tracking a range of UK and international bookmakers. The update frequency varies, but is clearly shown on all our tables and charts. After fetching odds direct from bookies, we convert them to implied probability to make them easier to manage (read more on implied probability and converting from fractional to % probability). We then take the mean average implied probability to get a consensus view across the betting industry. This average implied probability is what we show on our charts and tables.

Strictly Come Dancing Winner Odds

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Previous Strictly Come Dancing Winners:

Year Celebrity Dancer Professional Dancer
2020
Bill Bailey Oti Mabuse
2019
Kelvin Fletcher Oti Mabuse
2018
Stacey Dooley Kevin Clifton
2017
Joe McFadden Katya Jones
2016
Ore Oduba Joanne Clifton
2015
Jay McGuinness Aliona Vilani
2014
Caroline Flack Pasha Kovalev
2013
Abbey Clancy Aljaz Skorjanec
2012
Louis Smith Flavia Cacace
2011
Harry Judd Aliona Vilani

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