The Premier League is home to some of the best attacking talent in world football. Liverpool’s Mo Salah and Spurs striker Harry Kane are set to battle for the award yet again and are among the pre-season favourites, as well as the returning Romelu Lukaku, who will lead the line for Chelsea. We’ll be tracking the chase for the golden boot with the latest Premier League top scorer odds and a detailed odds history, showing how each player’s chances have been rated by the bookies from the first week of the season.
We also track the following betting markets – take a look to see current odds and trends over time:
- Ballon d’Or Odds
- Premier League 2021/22 Winner Odds
- NBA – Championship Winner Odds
- F1 World Championship Odds
- Sports Personality of the Year Odds
- NFL Super Bowl Winner 2022
Premier League Top Scorer – Latest Updates Impacting Odds & Favourites:
- 12th April – A hat-trick from Heung-min Son against Southampton sees the South Korean move within touching distance of current top-scorer Salah, who hasn’t netted since the 12th March.
- 14th March – Salah is on target once again, netting his 20th goal of the season as Liverpool beat a beleaguered Brighton.
- 28th February – Salah scores his 18th and 19th league goals of the season in Liverpool’s resounding 6-0 win over Leeds.
- 21st February – Salah scores again, this time against relegation-threatened Norwich City as Liverpool romp to a 3-1 win.
- 14th February – Salah’s odds take a slight dip while on national duty for Egypt at AFCON. Jota scores twice in Liverpool’s 2-0 win over Leicester to close the gap to just four goals on his teammate.
- 25th January – Salah’s odds somehow increase despite playing for Egypt in Cameroon. His replacement up top, Diogo Jota, has been in top form and is now second in the league’s goalscorer chart. The Portuguese is still six goals behind Salah, however.
- 18th January – Salah jets off to the Africa Cup of Nations with Egypt yet remains the outright favourite to claim the golden boot. Ronaldo fails to score yet again for the third competitive game.
- 4th January – An imperious finish from the Egyptian against his former side Chelsea sees Salah’s total for the season rise to 16.
- 30th December – Mo Salah’s odds of claiming the Golden Boot falter ever so slightly as Liverpool suffer a shock 1-0 loss to Leicester.
- 21st December – Salah’s imperious position as favourite for the Golden Boot remains following Liverpool’s 2-2 draw with Spurs.
- 14th December – Mohamed Salah’s meteoric rise to the golden boot continues as he scores the only goal in Liverpool’s 1-0 win over Aston Villa. He is now five clear of nearest rival, Jamie Vardy.
- 7th December – Salah hits an all-time high implied probability of 64.57% despite not scoring in Liverpool’s had-fought 1-0 victory over Wolves.
- 30th November – Jamie Vardy’s brace against Watford shoots the Leicester striker into second-favourite to claim the golden boot. But Mohamed Salah remains the clear favourite for the prize and is 46.48% ahead of the former Fleetwood man.
- 23rd November – An eleventh goal of the season for Mohamed Salah in Liverpool’s 4-0 thrashing of Arsenal improves the Egyptians imperious position as the runaway favourite for this year’s Golden Boot.
- 8th November – Mo Salah’s odds improve slightly despite not scoring in Liverpool’s 3-2 loss to West Ham.
- 2nd November – Mo Salah is now the outright favourite to win the golden boot with the Egyptian now on 10 league goals for the season.
- 26th October – Mohammed Salah’s inspired hat-trick in Liverpool’s 5-0 win over Liverpool keeps him in pole position to take this season’s golden-boot. Romelu Lukaku and Cristiano Ronaldo’s poor form in front of goal sees them plummet down the rankings.
- 18th October – Salah is now the favourite to claim the Golden Boot after scoring yet again in Liverpool’s 5-0 demolition of Watford.
- 4th October – Lukaku becomes the outright favourite to claim the golden boot as Cristiano comes off the bench against Everton and fails to score yet again. A sensational Salah solo goal against City keeps the Egyptian on top of the scorer charts and well in the running to claim a third Premier League golden boot.
- 27th September – Mohammed Salah scores his fifth goal of the season in Liverpool’s thrilling 3-3 draw against Brentford, shortening his odds by over 10%. Ronaldo fails to score and sees his odds drop by just under 3%.
- 20th September – Ronaldo continues to lead to the pack after scoring yet again, this time away to West Ham. Lukaku’s odds also improve despite failing to score in Chelsea’s 3-0 away win against Spurs.
- 13th September – A brace on his second home debut sees Cristiano Ronaldo become the bookies’ favourite to claim the Golden Boot. Romelu Lukaku also claimed a brace on his own second home debut as Chelsea beat Aston Villa.
- 31st August – Odds lengthen on Romelu Lukaku and Harry Kane after failing to score in the weekend’s fixtures. Odds are shortened on Mo Salah after he scores against Chelsea to take his season tally to two.
- 27th August – Bookies open betting on Cristiano Ronaldo as the second favourite after he joins Manchester United.
- 24th August – Odds are shortened on Romelu Lukaku after he scores on his debut. Odds are also shortened on Diogo Jota after scoring his second goal of the season. Odds lengthen on Harry Kane who is yet to score a goal.
- 17th August – Bookies lengthen odds on Harry Kane after he misses the opening fixture. Odds shorten on top scorer Bruno Fernandes after his hat-trick against Leeds and Mo Salah who scored against Norwich.
- 13th August – Despite the uncertainty around his future, Harry Kane is the bookies favourite to win the Golden Boot for a second successive season. Mo Salah, who has scored 97 goals in the past four seasons combined is the second favourite, followed by Raheem Sterling after his successful Euro 2020 campaign.
We monitor trends in odds on key markets of interest by tracking a range of UK and international bookmakers. The update frequency varies, but is clearly shown on all our tables and charts. After fetching odds direct from bookies, we convert them to implied probability to make them easier to manage (read more on implied probability and converting from fractional to % probability). We then take the mean average implied probability to get a consensus view across the betting industry. This average implied probability is what we show on our charts and tables.