Premier League Top Four Odds

Track the development of Premier League top four finish odds with our historical trend data. Get the latest odds and see how they change as the season comes to a close.

With six to seven teams regularly in with a shout of a top-four Premier League place, the fight for Champions League qualification has never been so competitive. We’ve gathered the latest odds and a detailed odds history, showing how bookies have rated each top ten team’s chances of qualifying for European football’s top table.

We also track the following betting markets – take a look to see current odds and trends over time:

2024/25 Premier League Top Four Finish – Latest Developments on Odds & Favourites (via bet365)
Liverpool
Arsenal	1/500
Man City	1/4
Newcastle	5/6
Nottingham Forest	5/4

We monitor trends in odds on key markets of interest by tracking a range of UK and international bookmakers. The update frequency varies, but is clearly shown on all our tables and charts. After fetching odds direct from bookies, we convert them to implied probability to make them easier to manage (read more on implied probability and converting from fractional to % probability). We then take the mean average implied probability to get a consensus view across the betting industry. This average implied probability is what we show on our charts and tables.

Top Four Favourites

Premier League Top Four Favourites 2024/25 Season

As the 2024/25 Premier League season unfolds, the battle for top-four spots is shaping up to be a thrilling contest. Here’s a look at the leading contenders and their prospects.

Liverpool

Currently leading the charge, Liverpool’s consistency and strong performances have made them firm favourites to secure a Champions League place. With an in-form squad and proven ability in key matches, they look set to finish in the top four.

Manchester City

Despite a few stumbles this season, Manchester City’s depth and experience keep them firmly in contention. Their track record under Pep Guardiola makes them a perennial favourite to remain among the elite.

Arsenal

The Gunners are showing resilience and ambition this season, building on their previous campaigns. With a young and dynamic squad, Arsenal are well-positioned to compete for a Champions League spot.

Chelsea

After an up-and-down start, Chelsea’s recent form has pushed them firmly into the top-four conversation. If they can maintain their momentum and overcome stiff competition, a return to Europe’s premier competition is within reach.

Other Contenders

Newcastle United, Brighton, Aston Villa, and Tottenham Hotspur are also vying for a top-four finish. While these teams face significant challenges, their strong performances and tactical versatility mean they cannot be ruled out just yet.