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Premier League Top Four Odds

Track the development of Premier League top four finish odds with our historical trend data. Get the latest odds and see how they change as the season comes to a close.

With six to seven teams regularly in with a shout of a top-four Premier League place, the fight for Champions League qualification has never been so competitive. We’ve gathered the latest odds and a detailed odds history, showing how bookies have rated each top ten team’s chances of qualifying for European football’s top table.


We also track the following betting markets – take a look to see current odds and trends over time:


2021/22 Premier League Top Four Finish – Latest Developments on Odds & Favourites:

  • 16th June – Manchester are outright favourites for a Champions League berth following the release of the Premier League fixture list, sitting on 95.52%. There is little to split the next three favourites, Chelsea, Liverpool and Manchester United, while fifth-favourite, Leicester City, are way behind on just 19.91%.

Current odds to finish in the Top Four of the Premier League in the 2021/22 season:

Club Fractional odds American odds
Man City
1/16 -1600
Chelsea
1/4 -400
Liverpool
1/4 -400
Man Utd
2/7 -350
Tottenham
4/1 +400
Leicester City
9/2 +450
Arsenal
9/2 +450
Everton
10/1 +1000

Above odds sourced via bet365 and updated 16/06/2021

About the data

We monitor trends in odds on key markets of interest by tracking a range of UK and international bookmakers. The update frequency varies, but is clearly shown on all our tables and charts. After fetching odds direct from bookies, we convert them to implied probability to make them easier to manage (read more on implied probability and converting from fractional to % probability). We then take the mean average implied probability to get a consensus view across the betting industry. This average implied probability is what we show on our charts and tables.

Premier League Top Four Odds

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