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Premier League Top Four Odds

Track the development of Premier League top four finish odds with our historical trend data. Get the latest odds and see how they change as the season comes to a close.

With six to seven teams regularly in with a shout of a top-four Premier League place, the fight for Champions League qualification has never been so competitive. We’ve gathered the latest odds and a detailed odds history, showing how bookies have rated each top ten team’s chances of qualifying for European football’s top table.


We also track the following betting markets – take a look to see current odds and trends over time:


2022/2023 Premier League Top Four Race – Latest Developments on Odds & Favourites:

  • 12th October 2022 – Arsenal’s great form keeps going and the bookies have them in the driving seat to finish in second place behind City. After those two is where it gets very interesting. Just 3% in implied probability separates Spurs, Liverpool and Chelsea, with Chelsea just missing out on the top four according to the bookies. United are a little bit further back in sixth, just over 20% behind Chelsea.
  • 16th September 2022 – For the first time in ages, it looks like all of the ‘big six’ could be quite good this year. The tracker currently has Manchester United and Chelsea missing out, but with Erik ten Hag’s Reds looking like they’ve turned a corner, and the appointment of highly-rated manager Graham Potter for Chelsea, that could soon all change – we’re due an implosion from at least one of the north London clubs, aren’t we?

2022/23 Premier League Top Four Finish – Latest Developments on Odds & Favourites (via Sky Bet)

Man City
1/250
Arsenal
1/6
Tottenham
8/13
Liverpool
4/9
Chelsea
4/5

We monitor trends in odds on key markets of interest by tracking a range of UK and international bookmakers. The update frequency varies, but is clearly shown on all our tables and charts. After fetching odds direct from bookies, we convert them to implied probability to make them easier to manage (read more on implied probability and converting from fractional to % probability). We then take the mean average implied probability to get a consensus view across the betting industry. This average implied probability is what we show on our charts and tables.

Premier League Top Four Odds

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