Love Island 2023 Winner Odds

Keep track of the Love Island winner odds as new faces join the villa and recouplings see contestants get sent home. We've got the latest odds and historical data showing how they've changed after each night in the Love Island villa.

All eyes are on South Africa as Love Island returns for its ninth season. Our Love Island Winner odds page offers the latest odds, updated daily as well as a detailed odds history, showing how each participant’s chances of winnings have been rated by the bookies since day one at the Love Island villa.

Winter Love Island 2023 Latest Winning Couple Odds

Love Island 2023 Winning Couple Odds (via SkyBet)

Jesse Wynter & Will Young
Lana Jenkins & Ron Hall
Tanya Manhenga & Shaq Muhammad
Samie Elishi & Ron Hall
Lana Jenkins & Spencer Wilks


We also track the following betting markets – take a look to see current odds and trends over time:

Love Island 2023 Winner – Latest Developments on Odds & Favourites:
  • February 1st: We were teased a recoupling at the end of last night’s show and it seems that Zara will be the next to leave, as the boys are picking and she is looking very vulnerable. Despite the fact there are enough people in there to fill a rugby team, there are really only two couples that seem fairly solid. Anyone else get the feeling that Casa Amor is going to be complete carnage? Bring it on.
  • January 31st: There are 15 islanders at the moment after the arrival of new bombshell Samie, so prepare yourselves for some exits this week. Jesse and Will remain the favourites, while Ron and Lana are still in second despite Ron changing his mind on who he likes every five minutes. Zara and Aaron look the most likely to be leaving us next, while Spencer and Ellie are far from safe.
  • January 27th: New bombshells Spencer and Ellie were grafting away last night and at the recoupling Spencer chose Olivia, and Ellie picked Ron. Aussie Jesse has proved to be very popular since she joined and coupled up with Will, as they continue to rise up the tracker. Still a long, long way to go yet though.
  • January 26th: Ever since I made sub-par Will Young puns about how he was soon to be heading home, he’s been surging up the tracker, and now is the bookie’s favourite. We saw Haris and Anna May leave last night, two new bombshells, and Aussie Aaron look like a dead man walking. The bookies have his implied probability of winning under 5%, probably due to news stories coming out that he’s a pretty awful bloke.
  • January 25th: We had our second islander leave last night, with Haris packing his bags. Probably for the best, since a video went viral on Twitter yesterday of him scrapping in the street before his Love Island days. Not the best look. Also in this episode, a bunch of grown adults played ‘never have I ever’, there was the most awkward kiss TV has ever seen, and Olivia and Zara continue to hate each other and no one really knows why. As you were.
  • January 24th: We have two new bombshells. Former Love Island Australia stars Aaron and Jesse have blown things open in the villa and are turning heads already. Everyone seems very confused about who they want to couple up with leading to all sorts of drama. It feels like this season is really starting to get going.
  • January 23rd: This weekend saw our first elimination, with David being dumped from the villa. Ron and Lana remain big favourites on our tracker, despite Tanyel picking Ron at the recoupling, leaving Lana very upset.
  • January 20th: It all got quite heated last night when Shaq and Haris had a big bust-up over basically nothing. There was a decent amount of blokey ‘hold me back’ antics for the viewers to enjoy, despite nobody really knowing why this was such a big deal. The first recoupling is coming soon, which will surely add some extra tension to the villa.
  • January 19th: Will Young was grafting away last night, but it looks as if his time won’t be evergreen, and I think he better leave right now. The bookies have him as the favourite to be the first to be dumped from the villa. Get Gareth Gates in ’til the end of the season.
  • January 18th: New bombshell Tom started to crack on last night, but sadly this bombshell wasn’t very…bombshelly. Viewers weren’t hugely impressed with him, reflected by the fact his implied probability dropped from 23% when we first saw him to 17% after we saw him speak. Ouch.
  • January 17th: Love Island 2023 is officially underway with a brand new set of islanders and Maya Jama as the new host. Make-up artist to the stars Lana is the early favourite amongst the girls with the bookies, while financial advisor Ron has taken an early lead for winning male. These odds will change plenty as the season rolls on, so make sure to follow this page for all the latest Love Island odds.

About the data

We monitor trends in odds on key markets of interest by tracking a range of UK and international bookmakers. The update frequency varies, but is clearly shown on all our tables and charts. After fetching odds direct from bookies, we convert them to implied probability to make them easier to manage (read more on implied probability and converting from fractional to % probability). We then take the mean average implied probability to get a consensus view across the betting industry. This average implied probability is what we show on our charts and tables.

Love Island Winner Odds

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Previous Love Island Winners:

Year Male Winner Female Winner
Davide Sanclimenti Ekin-Su Cülcüloğlu
Liam Reardon Millie Court
Finn Tapp Paige Turley
Greg O’Shea Amber Gill
Jack Fincham Dani Dyer
Kem Cetinay Amber Davies
Nathan Massey Cara de la Hoyde
Max Morley Jess Hayes

The people behind this page's online gambling content experts helped write, edit and check this page:

Daniel is Head of Operations at He has half a decade of experience writing on topics including sports betting, online casino and the NBA. Daniel also covers Premier League football for news and has interviewed Louis Saha, Richard Dunne and Gary Pallister. In his spare time, Daniel enjoys film photography and making Spotify playlists.
Matt is an SEO Executive and joined us in April 2022. He studied in America for university and then trained as a sports journalist before joining. Matt loves all sports, particularly football, cricket and NFL. In his spare time, he can usually be found cooking or grazing on a village cricket outfield.