All odds accurate at the time of publishing on 15th October 2020.
Everton or Draw @ 19/20
The 288th Merseyside derby will kick off the Premier League’s return to action on Saturday lunchtime, and it’s shaping up to be one of the most intriguing clashes in recent years. The arrival of some stellar signings on the blue side of Liverpool has seen Everton make their best start to a season since 1894. The Toffees have won all 7 of their games in the new campaign, scoring 24 goals and conceding just 8, and they’ll believe this could be their best chance in a decade to finally get one over their illustrious red neighbours. The champions, Liverpool, haven’t put in the kind of assured performances that saw them run away with the title last season of late and they’ll be reeling from that crushing 7-2 defeat to Aston Villa last time out. The embarrassing defeat was Liverpool’s heaviest defeat in 57 years and the worst in Jurgen Klopp’s career. However surprising the margin of defeat, the result wasn’t as shocking as the Reds’ recent away record — Liverpool have only won 4 of their last 13 away games in all competitions, losing 7, and they’ll visit a ground in Goodison Park where they’ve only won once in their last 8 visits. The other 7 of those matches have all been draws and Everton will be confident they can avoid defeat here as they’ve only lost 1 of their last 14 Premier League home matches. These games are usually pretty tight and the teams come into this one as closely matched as they have been in a decade, so there could be some value here in the double chance market which is why we’re backing Everton or draw at 19/20
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This Premier League season has got off to a blistering start, with 144 goals in the first 40 games, an average of 3.60 goals per game. And these two sides have been responsible for a fair chunk of those goals, with Everton joint-top scorers with 12 goals from their 4 games and Liverpool with 1 goal less. Thanks to that 7-2 defeat last time out, the Reds’ games have averaged 5.50 goals per game so far, and Everton’s haven’t been that far behind – victories by 4-2 and 5-2 scorelines in their last two home games mean that their games are averaging 4.25 goals. Each of the Toffees’ last 6 games have broken the 2.5 goal mark, whilst 12 of Liverpool’s last 16 in all competitions have seen 3 or more goals. This game is often settled by a single goal or less but we’re backing this one to go with this season’s trend and produce a few goals. Over 2.5 goals is 10/21 with 10Bet
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Carlo Ancelotti recently described Calvert-Lewin as ‘the complete striker’ and that’s high praise from some who’s managed the likes of Zlatan Ibrahimovic, Robert Lewandowski and the great Ronaldo Nazario. But it’s easy to see why the former Sheffield United man is earning that sort of praise from his manager — he’s scored 6 goals in the opening 4 games of the Premier League and is joint-top of the scoring charts with Tottenham’s Son Hueng-Min. Calvert-Lewin also announced his arrival on the international stage on Sunday, with a goal 26 minutes into his England debut, the first in a 3-0 victory over Wales on Sunday. That goal means that the striker has now scored 10 goals in 9 games this season — the best form of the 23 year old’s career. He’s not the favourite to find the net in this one, with the bookies fancying Liverpool’s Mo Salah, Diogo Jota and Divock Origi over him, but given the form he’s in and Ruby Bet’s price of 8/5 for him to score anytime, he’s certainly the best value.