NFL MVP 2021 Winner Odds

Track the development of the NFL MVP odds with our historical trend data. Get the latest odds and see who the bookies rank as favorites to claim the NFL's Most Valuable Player hardware at the end of the 2021 season.

Our NFL MVP odds page offers the latest odds and a detailed odds history, showing how each player’s chances have changed throughout the season.


We also track the following betting markets – take a look to see current odds and trends over time:


2021 NFL MVP  – Latest Developments on Odds & Favorites:

  • October 12th – Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen was fantastic against the Chiefs on Sunday and has skyrocketed to the top of the MVP chase. Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray is right on his heels, while Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert and Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott are climbing steadily. Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes, the preseason favorite, now has just the ninth-best odds to win the award.
  • October 5th – Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray has surged ahead of the pack after an impressive performance on Sunday against the Rams. Los Angeles quarterback Matthew Stafford, meanwhile, fell back after losing the duel. Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen is gaining steam, while Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes remains a contender. Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert is also getting into the mix.
  • September 28th – Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford has zoomed to the top of the consensus MVP odds after a magnificent performance on Sunday against the defending Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers. A slow start for Kansas City Chiefs star Patrick Mahomes has seen him slip, while Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray remains among the favorites. Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson took a big step back this week.
  • September 23rd – Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes remains the favorite, but others are closing the gap. Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady has thrown nine touchdowns in two games, while Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray has thrown for seven scores and rushed for two more. Those three candidates are ahead of the pack for now, but there is plenty of time for the odds to shift.


About the data

We monitor trends in odds on key markets of interest by tracking a range of UK and international bookmakers. The update frequency varies, but is clearly shown on all our tables and charts. After fetching odds direct from bookies, we convert them to implied probability to make them easier to manage (read more on implied probability and converting from fractional to % probability). We then take the mean average implied probability to get a consensus view across the betting industry. This average implied probability is what we show on our charts and tables.

NFL MVP 2021 Winner Odds

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Previous NFL MVP Winners:

Year NFL MVP Winner Team
2020
Aaron Rodgers Green Bay Packers
2019
Lamar Jackson Baltimore Ravens
2018
Patrick Mahomes Kansas City Chiefs
2017
Tom Brady New England Patriots
2016
Matt Ryan Atlanta Falcons
2015
Cam Newton Carolina Panthers
2014
Aaron Rodgers Green Bay Packers
2013
Peyton Manning Denver Broncos
2012
Adrian Peterson Minnesota Vikings
2011
Aaron Rodgers Green Bay Packers