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Next Tory Leader & UK Prime Minister Odds

Track the development of odds on the Conservative Party's next leader and the UK's Next Prime Minister with our historical trend data. Get the latest odds and see how they've changed change over time.

Our UK Next Prime Minister Odds page offers the latest odds and a detailed odds history in the recent race for the next leader of the Conservative Party and a longer historical view at the favourites to become the next Prime Minister.


Next Conservative Party Leader Latest Fractional Odds (via Bet365, updated 24th October)

Rishi Sunak 1/50
Penny Mordaunt 10/1

Check out some of our other betting market odds tracker to see current odds and trends over time:


Latest Developments on Odds & Favourites:

  • 24th October 2022 – Boris Johnson announced he would not be running late on Sunday, seemingly clearing the way for Rishi Sunak to become Prime Minister, although odds are still being offered for Penny Mordaunt.
  • 22nd October 2022 – The Bookies seem to think it’ll be Sunak and Boris as Mordaunt’s chances have gone from 17% to 10% overnight.
  • 21st October 2022 – Yesterday, our tracker had seven names on it. Today we’re down to just three. It seems certain that our next Prime Minister will be one of Rishi Sunak, Boris Johnson, or Penny Mordaunt. Johnson has climbed up to second over the past 24 hours, but the bookies still have Sunak as firm favourite.
  • 20th October 2022 – Well here we are, set for our sixth Prime Minister in just five years. After just 44 days as Prime Minister, Liz Truss resigned from her post. Rishi Sunak is the early favourite, with Penny Mordaunt in second. Most surprisingly, Boris Johnson, who was removed as PM just a matter of months ago is the third favourite with the bookies.

About the data

We monitor trends in odds on key markets of interest by tracking a range of UK and international bookmakers. The update frequency varies, but is clearly shown on all our tables and charts. After fetching odds direct from bookies, we convert them to implied probability to make them easier to manage (read more on implied probability and converting from fractional to % probability). We then take the mean average implied probability to get a consensus view across the betting industry. This average implied probability is what we show on our charts and tables.

Next Tory Leader & UK Prime Minister Odds

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The people behind this page

Compare.bet's online gambling content experts helped write, edit and check this page:

Marcus is Head of Content at Compare.bet, joining the team as an Editor in 2020. He has a degree in English and American Literatures, five years' experience as an editor, and bylines in The Times, iGamingFuture, Audioxide, GameRant, and Business Chief. Outside the online gambling space, Marcus spends his spare time listening to as much music as possible, praying for West Ham, working on his guitar skills, and trying not to suck at chess.