All odds accurate at the time of publishing on 16th November 2020.
Switzerland to Win @ 8/11
Switzerland know that they must better Ukraine’s 2-1 victory over them from September to avoid relegation to League B of the Nations League. And if their past home form is anything to go by, the Swiss have a decent chance of avoiding that fate — they’ve only lost 1 of their last 8 home matches, a 2-1 defeat to Croatia in October. Ukraine, meanwhile, have only won 2 of their last 11 away games and have lost each of their last 4 games on the road. They’ve also lost 5 of their last 6 games overall, with the only win being their shock victory over Spain last month. Knowing the effect it could have on seeding for future qualifying campaigns, both sides will be desperate to avoid demotion here but we’re siding with home advantage in this one and tipping the Swiss to get the job done at 8/11.
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Both of these sides’ games have produced lots of goals recently, with Ukraine’s last 10 matches averaging 3.30 goals per game and Switzerland’s last 10 clocking in at 3.00 per game. 13 of Ukraine’s last 16 matches have seen 2 or more goals scored whilst the same can also be said for 10 of Switzerland’s 13 games. The previous meeting saw 3 goals scored with Ukraine running out 2-1 winners in Kiev in September, and we’re backing over 1.5 goals to be scored in this game too at 1/4 with 10Bet.
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Ukraine haven’t scored that many goals themselves recently, with only 4 strikes in their last 6 matches. They’ve only managed to score more than 1 goal twice in their last 9 games, the reverse fixture of this match where they scored twice and in a 2-2 draw away to Serbia in November of last year. They’ve also only managed to score more than once in 3 of their last 11 away games, having done so against Serbia, Lithuania and Luxembourg. Switzerland, meanwhile, have a fairly decent defensive record in their home games — they’ve only conceded more than once 3 times in their last 8 home games, against Belgium, Denmark and Croatia. They only conceded once in each of their home games against Spain and Germany and kept clean sheets against the Republic of Ireland, Georgia and Gibraltar. They should have enough to limit Ukraine to at most a single goal in this game and the visitors to score under 1.5 goals is 26/100 with Ruby Bet.