All odds accurate at the time of publishing on 16th November 2020.
Portugal or Draw @ 3/10
France became the first team to qualify for the Nations League Finals after inflicting Portugal’s first home defeat in over 2 years on Saturday. Les Blues won the game 1-0 thanks to a rare goal from Chelsea midfielder, N’golo Kante. Portugal have a solid record on their travels, having only lost 1 of their last 15 away matches, a 2-0 defeat to Ukraine last October, and they had by far the better of the previous meeting with Croatia in Group A3, running out 4-1 winners in Porto in September. Croatia have had a rotten run in their year’s tournament, having lost 4 of their 5 matches, with the other game being a 2-1 home win over bottom team, Sweden. They’ve also never beaten Portugal, having lost 5 and drawn 1 of the 6 meetings between the nations, and it looks like they may have to wait a little longer for that first win in the fixture. We’re backing Portugal in the double chance market at 3/10 with Coral.
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Croatia have a remarkably consistent record in this market, with both teams scoring in 18 of their last 20 matches, including each of their last 10 games. Scoreline punters will be interested to know that 11 of those 20 games have finished 2-1 to one side, with Croatia on the winning side of 6 of those 2-1 scorelines. Croatia themselves last failed to score 2 years ago in the last Nations League tournament, a 0-0 draw with England, and have gone on to score in all of their 20 games since then. Portugal, meanwhile, have only failed to find the back of the net in 3 of their last 16 matches, and those games came against France (twice) and Spain. They’ve also seen both teams score in 6 of their last 10 away matches and in each of the previous two meetings with Croatia. Both teams to score seems good value in this one at 4/5 with 10Bet.
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This is another market that seems to be a shoe-in for Croatia’s games, as there have been at least 2 goals scored in 31 of their last 32 matches. Their recent games have featured plenty of goals and have featured an average of 3.60 per game over their last 10. Portugal’s games to quite hit those heights, with an average of 2.60 goals per game from their last 10 matches, but there have been over 1.5 goals scored in 10 of their last 13. With ample firepower on both sides, we see this one going the same way and over 1.5 goals is 1/3 with Ruby Bet.