All odds accurate at the time of publishing on 19th November 2020.
Match result draw @ 2/1
Millwall face Cardiff City on Saturday, in a clash between two sides with play-off ambitions. Despite this, they have both struggled of late, only winning once during their last five Championship clashes. The last five meetings between these sides have finished all square, which indicates this game will be contested between two evenly matched sides. Furthermore, Millwall have drawn 60% of their last five games, while Cardiff have finished level in half of their previous four on the road. We anticipate this being a tight affair, and have backed this game to finish level at 2/1 on Coral.
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As we anticipate this being a tight affair, there is every chance that set pieces could have a massive influence on the outcome of this game. The Bluebirds have conceded the third most corner kicks in the division so far, with 64 against – an average of 5.82 per game. On the other hand, Millwall have conceded 11 fewer, an average of 4.2 corners against per match. These sides have taken a similar amount, with Millwall and Cardiff accumulating 55 and 51 respectively. This means Millwall’s fixtures have produced an average of 9.2 corners per game, while there have been 10.46 per Cardiff match. We’ve backing this trend to continue, and have backed 9 or more match corners which is priced at 77/100 on Rubybet.
Our final tip for this clash is there to be under 2.5 match goals, which is priced at 8/11 on 10Bet. Although Millwall are a very talented side, this is largely down to their defensive structure, and ability to keep clean sheets. 73% of the Lions Championship clashes this season have finished with under 2.5 goals, with 5 of their last 6 clashes finishing with under three goals. This run stretches back to last season, with 65% of their last twenty home league games producing under 2.5 goals. On the other hand, 73% of Cardiff’s fixtures have also produced under 2.5 match goals, with 66% of their last six following this trend. Considering the low amount of goals in their games prior, we expect this to be a low-scoring game. Under 2.5 match goals is priced at 8/11 on 10Bet.
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