All odds accurate at the time of publishing on 19th November 2020.
Aston Villa or Draw @ 4/11
Aston Villa have been the Premier League’s ‘Jekyll and Hyde’ team so far this season, with their performances seemingly either brilliant or terrible. Their sensational 7-2 victory over champions Liverpool and impressive 1-0 away win over Leicester were followed by 3-0 and 4-3 home defeats to Leeds and Southampton respectively. But Villa were back to their best with a 3-0 away win over Arsenal in gameweek 8 and they’ll be looking to put those two previous home defeats to bed with a strong showing in this game. Brighton have only won 1 game so far this season, the 3-0 away win over Newcastle back in September, which means they’ve now gone 6 games without a win and their record on the road in the top flight suggests they might have to wait a little while longer for that winning feeling — they’ve failed to take all 3 points in 18 of their last 22 games on the road. Villa have dominated the recent fixtures between the sides too, having gone unbeaten in the last 10 encounters, and Brighton’s last win in the fixture came all the way back in 1980. We can’t look past Brighton’s dismal away showings in the league so we’re backing Villa in the double chance market for this one at 4/11.
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Villa’s matches have the third-highest average goal return in the league this season, behind Liverpool and Leeds’ matches, with their games clocking in at 3.86 goals per game. 10 of their last 13 Premier League games have seen at least 2 goals scored and this one shouldn’t be an exception. Brighton’s games have averaged 3.13 goals, with 11 of their last 13 matches passing the 1.5 goal mark and each of the last 6 meetings between the clubs have also seen 2 or more goals scored. Over 1.5 goals in this one is 4/21 with 10Bet.
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Watkins has taken the step up to the top-flight in his stride, scoring 6 goals in his first 7 Premier League appearances. The man who started his career with Exeter in League Two has now scored 8 goals in his 10 games for Villa in all competitions and has already put in some memorable performances for his new club, including a hat-trick in the 7-2 win over Liverpool and a brace last time out against his boyhood club, Arsenal. It’s no surprise to see he’s the favourite to score in this one and Watkins is 7/5 to score anytime with Ruby Bet.