2023 Super Bowl Betting: Jersey Number of the First Touchdown Scorer and Other Prop Bets for Eagles-Chiefs

It’s Super Bowl week, and thus, we are getting started early with some prop bets.

It’s been a banner postseason, as I’ve hit on eight of my 10 prop bet predictions. Here are three more, with additional wagers to come in the ensuing days.

Rest assured, there are no shortage of options when it comes to betting on the Super Bowl.

Jersey Number of First Touchdown Scorer over 11.5 (+105 at DraftKings)

OK, let’s break this down so we know the options on each side of this wager.

• Notable skill players with a jersey number of 11 or lower: Isiah Pacheco, Jalen Hurts,  A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, Jerick McKinnon, JuJu Smith-Schuster and Marques Valdes-Scantling.
• Notable skill players with a number above 11: Miles Sanders, Travis Kelce, Kenneth Gainwell, Dallas Goedert, Kadarius Toney, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Patrick Mahomes and Boston Scott.

Most bet player to score 1st touchdown in Super Bowl?

Travis Kelce +650 pic.twitter.com/TLK4TEev6X

— John Ewing (@johnewing) February 1, 2023

Both sides have plenty of guys that could score the first touchdown, but with Kelce and Sanders on the same side of the draw, I’m taking over 11.5 at plus money.

Kelce had a career-high 12 touchdowns in the regular season and has three more in the playoffs. Sanders had 11 touchdowns in the regular season and scored a pair in the NFC Championship Game against the 49ers.

Kelce has the best odds to be the first touchdown scorer at +650, while Sanders is tied for second at +700. Players like Hurts, Pacheco, Brown and McKinnon are also right in that mix, but I like having the top target on the pass-heavy team and the top option on the run-heavy side in this wager.

Eagles QB Jalen Hurts over 49.5 rushing yards (-114 at FanDuel)

Hurts is one of the most potent running quarterbacks in the NFL, and the Eagles seem likely to lean on the rushing attack in this matchup.

He has only surpassed 50 rushing yards in seven of 17 games this year, but there are a few reasons why I like this bet. The Chiefs are allowing 5.6 yards per carry on read-options, the fifth-highest in the NFL per FTN Data, and it’s a big part of what the Eagles do on offense.

The Eagles are currently 1.5-point favorite at @CaesarsSports with a total of 50.5 #SuperBowlLVII

What's your #SBLVII best bet? 🔥#ChiefsKingdom | #FlyEaglesFly | #SBLVII pic.twitter.com/HoQte1DTsG

— FTNBets (@FTNBets) February 7, 2023

Additionally, the Chiefs allowed 277 yards on scrambles this year, which was also in the top-5 in the NFL.

Philadelphia is going to lean on Hurts’ legs in this matchup, and this is a number he can reach in the Super Bowl.

Longest Touchdown Yardage in the Game: Under 40.5 Yards (-115 at DraftKings)

The Eagles have one of the best pass defenses in the NFL. Even though Patrick Mahomes is the quarterback on the other side, it’s hard to see Kansas City putting up a play so explosive that it goes for a 40-plus-yard score.

Philadelphia has a pair of big-play artists in A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith, but I think Kansas City will keep their safeties deep and force the Eagles to grind out scoring possessions.

A defensive score can also make this one hit, but each quarterback does a nice job of taking care of the ball. The scoring total for this game is 49.5, so there should be plenty of touchdowns, but a 40-yard score is a lot to ask. I like the under.

Playoff Prop Bets Record: 8-2
Overall: 91-82