NFL Draft Betting: Chicago Bears Heavy Favorites to Get Top Pick, Arizona Cardinals In Hunt

It was a big day for bad teams on Sunday, as the Patriots, Giants, Bears and Broncos all captured upset wins.

They each improved to 2-5 on the season, creating some separation at the bottom of the pack.

As the NFL regular season nears its midway point, the Carolina Panthers are the only team without a win, while the Arizona Cardinals are now the only team with one loss.

Since their playoff hopes are already fried, the focus turns to the draft. Unfortunately for Panthers fans, their first-round pick is now in the hands of the Bears after they dealt it in the move-up for Bryce Young this offseason.

Between that pick and their own, Chicago is in the driver’s seat to capture the No. 1 overall pick, with a combined chance of 55.4%, according to FTN Fantasy. 

The Cardinals have seen their odds surge amidst their four-game losing streak and seem like the one viable threat to Chicago securing the No. 1 pick.

Here are the odds to finish with the No. 1 overall pick, per FTN Fantasy.

  • Bears (via Panthers): 42.8%
  • Cardinals: 20.5%
  • Bears: 12.6%
  • Giants: 6.9%
  • Broncos: 6.5%
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No other team in the league has odds better than 2%, so already there is a clear division between potential candidates for the No. 1 pick and the rest of the field.

USC quarterback Caleb Williams is the heavy favorite to go No. 1 overall, although those odds are weakening, while Drake Maye is becoming less of a longshot.

The Cardinals hold Houston’s first-round pick in 2024, but the Texans are 3-3 on the season with a point-differential of plus-22, and have just 0.3% odds of getting the top pick.

The Panthers have a six-game stretch upcoming that includes games against the Texans, Colts, Bears, Titans and Buccaneers. If Carolina continues to struggle in those winnable games, the first pick will become more and more likely.

The Cardinals have been underdogs in every game this season but should get star quarterback Kyler Murray on the field in the next couple of weeks, which could result in more wins down the stretch.

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