NFL Draft Betting: Marvin Harrison, Jr. Stabilizing as Most Likely Pick By Cardinals

When the Vikings traded for a second first-round pick on March 15th, the J.J. McCarthy speculation whipped into a frenzy.

Minnesota had pick Nos. 11 and 23, and after losing Kirk Cousins in free agency, seemed poised to make a deal to rocket up the board into the top-5 and land their quarterback of the future.

The betting odds soon mirrored this thinking, as McCarthy’s FanDuel odds to be the No. 4 overall pick in the draft went from +1500 on March 5 all the way down to +200 on March 27th.

Marvin Harrison, Jr., the likely pick if the Cardinals stood pat instead of dealing with Minnesota, always held the title of odds-on favorite, but those odds dipped from -230 down to -145 as McCarthy’s shot up.

But now, as speculation continues but no solid reports link the Vikings to a trade with the Cardinals, Harrison’s odds are stabilizing as the most likely choice at No. 4 overall.

The Ohio State star is back to -200, which is an implied probability of 66.7%, while McCarthy has dropped to +400, as of April 10th.

Odds to be the No. 4 Overall Pick at FanDuel

  • Marvin Harrison, Jr. -200
  • J.J. McCarthy +400
  • Drake Maye +750
  • Jayden Daniels +1100
  • Malik Nabers +1700

There has been reporting of late that Cardinals GM Monti Ossenfort wants three first-round picks in exchange for No. 4 overall, which has always felt like the tipping point.

Harrison, Jr. has the look of a perennial Pro Bowler and Arizona has a glaring need at No. 1 wide receiver, so it could take a lot for Ossenfort to trade down.

Minnesota also has other options, as it could pursue deals with the Chargers at No. 5 overall or possibly the Patriots at No. 3.

McCarthy has +400 odds to be the No. 5 overall pick and now +250 odds to be the No. 3 overall pick in the draft.

The Vikings are the favorites to draft McCarthy at +115 odds, but it’s still a mystery as to how they will make that happen, if it comes to fruition at all.

And while a deal between Minnesota and Arizona can still very much happen, the betting markets believe the most likely scenario on draft night is Marvin Harrison, Jr. to the Cardinals at No. 4 overall.

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